Covid19: Knowns, unknowns and unknown unknowns*

by Patrick J. Byrne

PART TWO OF TWO PARTS (Read the first part here)

(Photo above is of NSW hospital staff during the Spanish Influenza epidemic in 1918-19)
HOW TIGHT SHOULD RESTRICTIONS BE?
Figure 1 (below), from the Federal Government’s Impact of Covid19 modelling, points to three infection scenarios: (a) where there are no restrictions; (b) quarantine and isolation of infected people; (c) quarantine, isolation and social distancing, presumably including restrictions on movement, tra…

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